A long piece for you, posted here, so long that I have had to break it into three parts, with only the first completed.
I have been thinking about this for weeks, if not months, and totally obsessed with it for several days now. The first part is analysis of why Cameron and his "not-the-Conservative-Party" are going to lose the next general election. The second is my view of what the Party must do to win and the third outlines why it cannot and will not change – and is thus doomed to lose.
Then, by way of a conclusion, I assess the consequences of a Conservative failure, both nationally and internationally. It is not, as they say, a pretty sight.