Friday, May 07, 2010

The only certainty

"Any government formed in the next few days will not be able to command a stable or overall majority in the Commons. So the new Parliament is unlikely to last more than a year or so. A second general election is probable either later this year or in the spring of 2011," says The Times.

Forget the welter of low-grade and over-excited comment. That is probably the best that we can expect. The realities of power make it so.

In the meantime, I do not see Brown handing over the reins of power. If I had to put money on it, my scenario would be Cleggie and Boy Dave failing to come to terms, and Gordon planting his flag in the Commons, daring the boys and girls to bring down the government in the midst of a financial crisis, then declaring an autumn election.

And isn't it so very interesting that, after this election, all the parties are being so candid about that crisis. The speeches we are hearing now are of a tenor that was curiously absent before the election.

What we have to factor in right now is that virtually all of the professional pundits got it wrong. The volume of prattle is inversely proportional to its value - the "bubble" is so up itself that it is reacting, rather than thinking, and will consistently get it wrong.

No one could predict the way the seats would fall, says a fatuous little BBC girlie ... if she pulled her head out of her arse, the result exactly reflects the mood of the country - a pox on all of you. Only the BBC, the political classes and the claque have no idea what is happening in the real world - they did not see it coming.