Last autumn we predicted that Brown would not go to the country, despite the media and blogosphere hysteria and election would be in May 2010; we turned out to be right. There is some gossip that the Labour activists were told it would be May 6 but that is uncertain and does not alter the fact that Brown is going to the wire.
We predicted very firmly that Gordon Brown would still be leader of the Labour Party after the Conference finished and would continue with that role till the election; so far we have turned out to be right. The Labour Party has no mechanism that allows them to get rid of leaders who do not want to go between conferences. Unless something extremely dramatic happens between now and May, Brown will be leading them into the election.
We predicted that Cameron would back away from a referendum on the
So now we predict that Tony Blair is not going to be President of the European Council. Let us see how that turns out.