
… of George's favourite airline.
COMMENT THREAD
The financial crisis spreading like wildfire across the former Soviet bloc threatens to set off a second and more dangerous banking crisis in Western Europe, tipping the whole Continent into a fully-fledged economic slump... Currency pegs are being tested to destruction on the fringes of Europe's monetary union in a traumatic upheaval that recalls the collapse of the Exchange Rate Mechanism in 1992.Yet, this is down page in the business section, competing for attention with the greater space afforded to a report headed How recession-proof is British sport?. Talk about "bread and circuses"!
Overseas visitsYou have to spool up to page 18 to discover the author of this commendable piece of candour. As for me, I couldn't possibly comment.
23-25 January 2008, to Davos, Switzerland, to attend and participate in the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, where I was invited to speak. The World Economic Forum provided my conference pass, occasional car use in Davos (including airport transfers) and some hospitality. (My flights and accommodation were paid for by the Conservative Party.)
…latest available valuation provided by a relevant counterparty and as adjusted in such manner as the directors, in their sole discretion, think fit. If no such valuation is available, the directors will determine the value in good faith having regard to such factors as they deem relevant.You might have thought that the IOS could have mentioned this interesting snippet to Mr Clarke, on top of his board membership of Centaurus Capital – detail of which is strangely absent from his profile printed in the article. But, since Clarke is also an non-executive director of the Independent News and Media (UK) group, which actually owns the Independent on Sunday, one supposes that the paper would not be too keen to upset him.
Economists from the World Economic Forum have blamed "out of control" chief executives for treating its annual Davos summits like a luxury party rather than a serious conference.The funny thing is that the WEF meetings have acquired much the same reputation as the Bilderburger meetings – rich and famous men meeting "behind closed doors to set an agenda for the global economy".
Klaus Schwab, executive chairman of the WEF, said he regretted not forcing Wall Street and City executives to listen to the worries of leading economists about the credit bubble over the last five years.
Mr Schwab is now intent of returning the conference to its intellectual roots, based on the 1944 Bretton Woods forum that discussed rebuilding the global financial systems after the Second World War.
"The partying crept in," the 70-year-old economist said. "We let it get out of control and the attention was taken away from the speed and complexity of how the world's challenges built up".

The Bank's insouciance was encouraged by stupefying political complacency. In his Budget in March, Alistair Darling repeatedly insisted that Britain was better placed than almost all its competitors to face "economic turbulence". He cut his growth forecasts, yet still expected a 2.5 per cent expansion next year, a prediction that should warrant an inquiry into the quality of Treasury number-crunching. Why should we believe him now when he says the recession that he failed to predict will be less painful that previous slumps?And then we are treated to this strident conclusion which has us cheering to the rafters:
Given the economic circumstances, the Conservatives should be 25 points ahead in the polls, but they have yet to find the right voice to vent the spleen of the nation - and have anyway spent the past week on the defensive over their shadow chancellor's summer antics in Corfu. Are the abiding images of an economic crisis to be these: the Bank of England Governor at Wimbledon while failing to cut interest rates soon enough; politicians luxuriating on the yachts of the super-rich; empty benches in Parliament despite the worst financial crisis for 80 years; a governing party concerned more with its own internal machinations than with dragging the economy back from the brink? At times like this, the political classes are meant to earn their corn. They flunked it and we will all pay the price.But just hang on a minute. Where was the media when all the chaps were disporting themselves and pratting about with their internal squabbles? Do we recall posting one or two pieces making just tiny references to the media, with the odd suggestion or two that our revered fourth estate might possibly be missing the plot?
Actually, Ambrose was writing in the business section, a completely separate section where there is still some serious news. More and more, one gets the impression that there are two separate newspapers, one the main newspaper which should more rightly be known as the entertainment section, while the hard news is consigned to the business section.More recently, as we were sinking into the doo doo, we actually wrote this:
Thus, when the prime minister calls a press conference in No 10 on the economic situation, with the chancellor of the exchequer standing beside him, and announces he is going to go to Paris, and tells the media that he intends to put forward his proposals "about how a stability programme can work for each country", you might just have thought that some of the assembled journalists – or even one – might on our behalf be just a little interested in what those proposals were, what the reception might be and sundry other details.Many, many more pieces of a similar tenor did we write, the latest being this one - far too numerous to cite here, but if you google our site, using the search string "soap opera" you will find no shortage of comment, not least this and this, the latter actually bearing the title "a retreat into infantilism".
But no! This is our media we are talking about. First off in the questioning was that dreadful Nick Robinson, oozing with self-importance. He launches into a question about Brown's personal relations with Mandelson and why he picked him for a job in the cabinet. Brown answers the question only to get Robinson put a detailed supplementary, on exactly the same issue.
According "a source close to the Tory leader": "George has been a bit of a prat" (BOAP). This is retailed to us by The Daily Telegraph - on the front page in the print edition. Mr Heffer is even less kind.

Once again, under Labour, the pound in your pocket is worth less. Indeed Gordon Brown has set a new record for Labour Governments, but it's not one he's likely to boast about. The 25 percent fall in the value of the pound over the last year is even greater than the devaluations under Jim Callaghan and Harold Wilson. It's a sign that international investors think Britain is badly prepared, as boom turns to bust.This brought from me this pained response:
I do not think you even begin to understand how badly this type of "Tory tribalism" plays out in the real world. You may happily discuss how Mr Cameron has "decontaminated" the Tory brand, but what you need to understand is that the greater "contamination" is with the generic politician brand. This is making it worse.Picking up just one point from this, we aver that we need "clinical" opposition. This brings to mind the Saatchi poster of 1978 which is largely credited with winning the 1979 election for the Conservatives (illustrated at the top of this post).
Cameron was right in his early days when he pledged to end "Punch and Judy" politics, but we are seeing more of this than ever before - this post is a classic example. Iain Martin wrote an excellent piece in The Daily Telegraph yesterday pointing out that the impression with many voters was that the Tories were treating politics as a "game". I commented on this, applauding him. He was and is right.
The mood of the country has changed – is changing. You won't see it in the opinion polls (yet), but it is there. The polls don't ask the right questions and, in any event, people are not going to admit they are scared to total strangers. Half the time, they won't admit it to themselves. But people are worried, uncertain – afraid even. The mood is sombre, more than a little bit resentful and can quickly turn to anger.
To see this "Punch and Judy" stuff is not helpful. It comes over as lightweight and facile. We need "clinical" opposition – cold, dissection of the appalling policies of Mr Brown, and careful, sensible alternatives, delivered with gravitas and conviction.
In short, when times are hard – and they are going to get a lot harder – we need grown-up leadership. We can do without – as it comes over - a bunch of prattling, overgrown schoolboys scoring points off each other.
The only victory here is when the Directive is dead and buried with a stake through its heart and a silver bullet lodged in its brain, the casket surrounded by a moat of Holy Water and surmounted by a garland of garlic, with the Pope standing guard, brandishing a chalice containing the mortal remains of Jesus Christ. Even then, you can never be sure ...We are not quite there yet, I suspect.
One thing I have learned – of many – is that if you are in the prediction business, you may be right in your general thrust but very often things happen much more slowly than you predict.Anyone with any political awareness and an understanding of how we are governed, and how we should be governed, cannot help but feel gloomy at the prospect. I cannot be alone in wondering quite how much longer this nation can survive under a Labour administration.I wrote that on 1 January 2005 and, alright, I was three years early on the headline. In fact, we were not that far wrong. Much of the "real economy" has been in recession for well over a year, but Mr Brown and his merry men have messed around so much with the economic statistics that they no longer give an accurate - or any - picture of what is going on. That a recession is now headline news simply reflects the fact that "them up there" have finally noticed, or that it is so obvious that even fudging the figures cannot conceal it any longer.
As if that is not enough, many pundits are quite seriously suggesting that 2005 will be a year of recession and some go further to predict that we could well see an economic collapse on the scale of the events that triggered the 1929 depression.
It is probably too far-fetched a comparison, but – as one watches the train-wreck of the world economy lurch over the precipice – one begins to detect a whiff of something that smells rather like the Weimar culture.Mr King's analysis of what went wrong in the banks was - as befits a respected academic economist - lucid and detailed. What was missing from his exegesis was any sense of self-awareness. He gave the appearance of a thoughtful onlooker at a particularly nasty accident. Yet under his stewardship, the Bank's actions, or rather lack of them, have contributed significantly to the crisis.A week or so ago, we were reaching the same conclusion about King and were preparing a post on him, provisionally headed, "the guilty man".
Ann Winterton: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer whether the UK may withdraw unilaterally from the Mark to Market rules under European Union legislation. [226867]They could have specified the EU legislation, but they did not. Furthermore, they could have answered the question properly. The requirement to use mark to market is set out in Directive 2006/49/EC (Annex VII) as well as International Financial Reporting Standards, set out here.
Ian Pearson: UK groups are required to use International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), including those relating to valuation, when preparing their accounts. IFRS are set by the International Accounting Standards Board and adopted for use inside the EU under the relevant legislation by the member states of the EU and the European Parliament.
International Accounting Standards (IASs) are developed by the International Accounting Standards Committee (IASC), whose purpose is to develop a single set of global accounting standards. Further to the restructuring of the IASC, the new Board on 1 April 2001, as one of its first decisions, renamed the IASC as the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and, as far as future international accounting standards are concerned, renamed IAS as International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). These standards should, wherever possible and provided that they ensure a high degree of transparency and comparability for financial reporting in the Community, be made obligatory for use by all publicly traded Community companies.The main Commission Regulation is (EC) No 1725/2003, amended several times, most recently by (EC) No 1004/2008 of 15 October 2008.
Typically, the journos miss the point, although this article is by Richard Spencer - a China hack, not a financial specialist.All of this invokes vague presentiments of gloom and there are plenty of bears ready to sustain fears that we are on the brink of economic meltdown. Small wonder we are agape as Gordon Brown continues to parade his "economic competence". We seem to living on "funny money" and no one seems to want to take responsibility.Waaaaaaaaahhhhhhhh …
The metropolitan elite into which the Conservatives are being sucked is not actually particularly interested in ideas, or reform, and, unfortunately, senior Tories have too often given the impression - crucially, not Cameron himself - that they have become so pragmatic that they long ago forgot what they hope to achieve by winning office.Martin, I think, is capturing the mood of the nation, from which the Westminster chatterati, in their little bubble, seem horribly insulated. If they are not very careful, they will be like the French ancien regime who first discovered quite how unpopular they were when the tumbrels arrived at the front gate to take them to the guillotines.
Having an ideological compass is what matters when the water gets choppy. Unless a new government has a clear idea of what is wrong with the country and a plan to do the hard work of reform to fix it, then its ministers will be blown about and will achieve little.
There is much that needs addressing in Britain - what with flat-lining social mobility, a crushed economy and the threat to free markets - and there is little time for more frivolity. This is not a game, but this week many voters will be thinking the Tories regard it as just that.

In The Daily Telegraph letters today (no link) you will find Mr J.C. Hodee of Newport, Pembrokeshire, under the heading: "Why years of power cuts are certain to come." Sir, he writes:The design life of our major power stations is 35 years and nearly all are near to this or have exceeded it.This is no more or less than we have heard from any number of experts, the issue having been rehearsed endlessly on this blog. This is the voice of reality, not the posturings of the mad warmists predicting some vague disaster sometime in the future, sometime never.
As a former consulting engineer for major power plant construction, I know that the minimum time in this country to plan, design, construct and reliably commission a base-load fossil fuel power station is five years and 10 years for a nuclear station.
This, of course, is without the interference of disruptive groups.
We are in for several years of progressively severe load shedding and power failures, owing to the dismemberment by the Tories of the Central Electricity Generating Board and subsequent lack of forward planning by the Labour Government and the foreign companies that now own our power generating and distribution system.
Have no doubt about it, the situation is serious, and the recent ill-conceived collusion with the French will do little to alleviate the problem.

… the idea of MPs ever having the independence to do properly the job that the constitution expects of them went right out of the window. Perhaps they should stay on holiday.I have to say that, watching on television the disgusting scenes on PMQs today, one can only agree. Speaking personally, I am sick, sick, sick to the back teeth and beyond of these idiots bickering and squabbling amongst themselves while the country goes gurgling down the plug hole. It is as if someone left open the playpen and the children have taken over the nursery.
On March 24, 1989, the oil tanker Exxon Valdez, carrying more than 50 million gallons of North Slope crude oil, ran aground and ruptured in Alaska's Prince William Sound.According to the press officer for the Independent/Democracy Group, when he went down to the press office in the EU parliament with a sheaf of releases on the Latsis/Barroso story, so keen were the assembled hacks that he described it as "like walking into Trafalgar Square with an open packet of corn".We continued our coverage, with links only from a number of foreign blogs and some foreign media interest, while the brave, upright British media slumbered on. The few Tories who supported us got into trouble but we plodded on, ploughing our lonely furrow until the story petered out through lack of media interest.
And the result? A search of Google this morning gives… nothing… ne rien… nada. However, the BBC's Today programme did a stonking story on Beckham's satin cummerbund.